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I now have two gigs in early 2021. I just doubled my money!!!

There seems to be a light on the horizon. Next winter season might show some recovery for Florida musicians.

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Infections and deaths are trending down in Tennessee, and hospitals now have some free ICU beds.

To me this doesn't mean it's time to celebrate, but time to double down on masks/social distancing/etc. so we can accelerate the downward trend.

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The doctors/pas/nurses I know all agree we just saw the Christmas/New Year's surge. Nothing has changed, of course.

The people I know have been on 7 day extended shifts. 7 day wait for phase 1b vaccinations - where they have it. All of the vaccine manufacturers are saying they're going to come up short supply-wise. Biden needs to get FEMA and the national guard out to help get vaccinations on track, and this "you don't need the second dose" bs is going to help mutations. The South African variant in in the States, much more contagious, along with other new strains.

And the dumb anti-science anti-mask brigade appear to be permanently impaired and ever willing to be super spreaders.

It's really worse than ever.


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I got my second COVID-19 vaccination today!!!

I went to The Cleveland Clinic here in Florida, and it was like a production line. Much more organized than the first injection last month.

When I arrived there were guides who handed us minimal paperwork, directed us to the check in station, and then to get vaccinated.

I didn't count, but there must have been a dozen or more nurses in the hallway, each with a chair and syringes. Sat down, said "Hi" got shot and filled in my vaccine card all in about two minutes.

Then we were guided to a waiting room where we sat for 15 minutes 'just in case'. There were other guides and helpers who wiped down anything anyone touched and the chairs we sat on as soon as someone got up.

I must have been there between 20-25 minutes and I probably saw over 100 people get their shots.

It looks like things are finally starting to get organized, and it looks like there is light at the end of the tunnel.

So far no side effects to speak of except a slight discomfort in the arm. Not enough to call pain, just enough to let me know something happened if I move my arm in certain positions. I'm already feeling more comfortable knowing I have a 95% chance of not getting COVID-19, and since I have always had a good immune system (I haven't missed a gig since 1964) I figure I'm safe. I'll still mask, wash and keep distant, as I believe the scientists are giving the best advice they know now.

Please, if you know someone who is hesitant to get vaccinated, try to guide them. If you get vaccinated the worst case is a sore arm or fever for one day. If you don't get vaccinated the worst case is dying in an isolation ward and not even being able to say goodbye to your loved ones.

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Bob "Notes" Norton
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Thanks for the progress report! fingers crossed that there's enough vaccine to go around, and enough people willing to take it.

My fiance has had her first shot...said it wasn't bad, just a little discomfort. Second shot happens Monday. Supposedly it's nastier, but we'll see.

However, some friends have been disappointed that after receiving the Bill Gates microchip, they couldn't hook into it from their smartphone's Bluetooth to pipe music directly into their brains. So we're still stuck with Bluetooth headphones and earbuds for now.

At the moment vaccines in Nashville are for those 75 and above, but as soon as the threshold goes down, I'm in.

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Today I have a mild case of the heebie jeebies. Skin feels a little creepy. Nothing severe, just a distraction when I'm not ignoring it.

I've read that means my immune system is ramping up the defenses. Perhaps I'll take a nap today. (Good excuse).

The Bill Gates microchip still hasn't fixed my problems with Windows, but it hasn't made it worse either.

Notes


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Note: One suggestion: It is reported that the full protection takes 2 or 3 weeks AFTER the second shot. I'm supposed to get the second shot on the 17th (assuming that nothing messes up the supply chain). I'm 79 with COPD, and will take precautions all the way (and beyond, because my wife hasn't had the first yet).
I'm told that the Gates chip doesn't integrate with M1 Macs or iPhones


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I know it's going to take a couple of weeks to get full immunity, and I have no intention of dropping my guard.

The heebie-jeebies lasted a couple of hours, so I napped through them. No biggie. I'd do it again if I need to. My wife didn't get them, just a little ache in the arm.

Due to the fact I need Windows for my work with Band-in-a-Box, I no longer use Macs. I quit during the IBM chip days. So I'm thankful I didn't get the Steve Jobs chip in the vaccine, it would have done me no good. grin


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Now what? Most likely a Superbowl spreader event resembling "28 Days Later" because too many people value football over Science, or the lives of others. They're foolish to push it when we have yet to hit a decent, deflecting number of vaccines. The new variants are partially deflected if you are vaccinated, but nowhere near 100% and ZERO if you've had no vaccine at all. My fellow man is a dumbass. Talk about self-culling... rolleyes mad pop

Okay, I'm going to go have a therapeutic denial session playing my D-50 and watching "The Simpsons." Those kinda go together.


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In India the virus is going away.

In India there is a fine for not wearing a mask, even if you are jogging outdoors. If caught you get a 20 Rupee fine and a mask.

And COVID-19 is disappearing.

Coincidence? Perhaps.

Last edited by Notes_Norton; 02/08/21 02:14 PM. Reason: typo

Bob "Notes" Norton
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hopefully this isn't behind a pay wall. Excellent article, IMO, from the Wall Street Journal

https://www.wsj.com/articles/as-vac...wq&reflink=desktopwebshare_permalink


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Originally Posted by Doerfler
hopefully this isn't behind a pay wall. Excellent article, IMO, from the Wall Street Journal

https://www.wsj.com/articles/as-vac...wq&reflink=desktopwebshare_permalink

I wonder if ultimately, this could lead to fewer illnesses overall. There have already been comments on how the flu season virtually disappeared this year because of the restrictions brought on by the coronavirus.

If the coronavirus is brought under control where less people die, more folks are protected, and hospitals aren't overwhelmed, but there's more awareness of health issues, that might not be a bad thing. Maybe we'll become more "Asian," and wear masks more often, to avoid spreading colds and regular flu. Maybe ventilation systems will be improved for fresher air, less mold, etc.

Also I think most people and companies would agree that working from home has offered quite a few benefits to all concerned, including not losing time through commuting (with an attendant decrease in pollution and noise). Even if the virus doesn't go away, the world will become more safe over time. I could easily picture a scenario where people come into an office on Monday and Friday, then work at home in the middle of the week (or vice-versa).,

It sounds like it might be a long slog before concerts and events go back to "normal," and restaurants will have to emphasize takeout for a while longer, but ultimately we'll learn to live with it. In some ways, it might increase the overall quality of life in some respects.

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Originally Posted by Anderton
Maybe we'll become more "Asian," and wear masks more often, to avoid spreading colds and regular flu. Maybe ventilation systems will be improved for fresher air, less mold, etc.
Does this have you thinking about events like NAMM and that maybe many of us will wear masks at events like that to try to reduce the risk of NAMMthrax? I know I have.

Originally Posted by Anderton
Also I think most people and companies would agree that working from home has offered quite a few benefits to all concerned
I agree generally, but don't forget it has hurt businesses that were dependent on those commuting workers, like places that served lunch near the offices, etc. Long term, it might be better overall but the change will be a painful shift for some.


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Originally Posted by Joe Muscara
...don't forget it has hurt businesses that were dependent on those commuting workers, like places that served lunch near the offices, etc. Long term, it might be better overall but the change will be a painful shift for some.

Good point, I hadn't thought of that because I don't work in an office, and when I worked at Gibson, I always brought in my own lunch. Although the point was brought home to me when I visited P Audio Labs in downtown Nashville for a motherboard update, and wanted to walk around for a quick bite or maybe a coffee.

Any change is going to be painful. I was lucky because while I lost gigs because of the pandemic, I could at least try to pursue other opportunities. I suppose a coffee shop could do curbside pickup or delivery, but I presume that it would be very difficult to offset the loss of foot traffic.

Some changes are permanent, though, and we have to get used to it. Look at what happened when the internet collided with the music industry...music distribution will never be the same again.

We're definitely staring uncarted territory in the face.

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Originally Posted by Anderton
Also I think most people and companies would agree that working from home has offered quite a few benefits to all concerned, including not losing time through commuting (with an attendant decrease in pollution and noise). Even if the virus doesn't go away, the world will become more safe over time. I could easily picture a scenario where people come into an office on Monday and Friday, then work at home in the middle of the week (or vice-versa).

My guitar lesson business, as it it turns out, was reliant a lot upon having a location that fell in line with people being in transition to going home: from work, from school, from the gym, etc..

For people that view "guitar lessons" like going to the gym, doing it online means I'm competing for their time *at home*. They're not on the way to the grocery store, or an errand outside in a car. They're at home sitting on the sofa, I have to get them off of it and bother. I know this by observing the "state" people are in when they start a lesson, and when they're late, or don't want to bother. Where they hid it before, people just say "I didn't pick up the guitar this week".

I think "working from home" is beneficial for people who are auto-didactic, self-starting; which I don't think is the majority of people. It's wrecking/wrecked my business, because the mindset of a lot of people that are working from home partially, or fully, is still passive; the vestiges of "learning a skill as a hobby to further yourself as a human being" is evaporating into the black and white mindset of "if I'm not working things should be entertaining. Is this work or entertainment?". That mindset might favor live music, if it ever becomes safe to do it again, but anything that requires *effort* gets placed in a category of "I'm in virtual because it's work". "I'm at home but I'm pinned down at this certain time every week, and I've got to log on and face reality that I didn't practice this week" = "guitar lessons" now. I get it, but I don't know a way around that and how I keep my business going.


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Anecdotes:

A brother in law of a student of mine that lives in N.C. did his first gig in months last month. The usual happened: a number of people got sick, and the band, and the guy died a few days ago in the ICU, in his 40s I believe.

Another student traveled to visit his parents (70s) at New Year's. Both parents got COVID. His mother died. I remember he'd said "they've been in quarantine, they don't go anywhere, but it will be ok this one time for the kids to visit for a few days we think".

I hadn't gone on Facebook since December when I went on last week. A very different tone. Not as much boasting about "covid is just a bad cold", "look at the pussies wearing masks" - but at least a dozen people I know either had a parent that had died from it, or are in the hospital with it. I knew there would come a saturation point when even the most ignorant right wing jerk would realize they ARE being a jerk, and it looks like we're almost there. It's sad and scary.

Yet, there are still holdouts. Including a nuclear engineer I know that was very proud of his knowledge of filtration systems, and took pride in telling everyone on Facebook that "masks don't work! The virus can go right through them!". An opinion biased more by his questionable political affiliation than his training. He still apparently spends much of his time informing his friends how dumb and useless wearing a mask is, "why not wear 20 masks? Hahaha!" etc.. Having gone in circles with him back in March, he made a return to reply to one of my posts on Facebook to tell me "one of my friends died of covid, and he was an avid mask wearer! It didn't help him!". So here's a guy that's a nuclear engineer, and he literally doesn't get the premise that wearing a mask is to prevent others from being infected; and he incessantly insists masks can't stop *any* viral particle, despite surely understanding the statistical nature of the term "n95".

So I've learned so much about humans due to the pandemic. I had "inverse Dunning-Kruger". I really, naively expected society to handle this differently, and presumed people in general had more common sense. That non-sequiter behavior follows syntactical "logic" above reality has to be *expected* is something I was totally blind to prior to the year 2020.


/ apologies Craig. I write this for no true effect beyond "here" being a place marker. I was on Fark.com the morning of 9/11; the comments on there that day I think captured a sociological sentiment that one day might be useful. Hopefully one day we'll get past this and the arc of what happened from 2020 forward, attitudes and changing norms, might be captured here.


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/ "big ass windbag" - Bruce Swedien
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No apologies necessary. It's never a problem to remind people we can't let our guard down yet, and we don't know when it will be possible.

There is no doubt at this point that wearing a mask slows down the Covid growth rate. So saying "well, it doesn't protect ME" is stupid. I wear a mask not as a political statement or because I think it will keep me from getting Covid, although there is evidence that it does help. I wear it because I don't want people to think it's okay not to wear a mask.

Don't get me wrong. I don't like wearing a mask. It's uncomfortable. But, although I love a glass or two or wine with dinner, I don't drink a drop if I'm going to be driving. Not because I'm afraid of hurting myself - I don't drink much, and I'm a very good driver - but if I ever ran into someone, I'd never forgive myself.

The virus is too damn sneaky, since it can be spread by people who don't realize they have it. I don't think I do, but I'm not going to potentially jeopardize other people.

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I wear the mask because it's the right thing to do. It gives me some protection, and some protection is better than none.

If I do catch the disease, a mask drastically lowers the probability that I might infect and possibly kill someone else. IMO If we were really a civilized society, we would be watching out for each other and everybody would be wearing masks.

Besides for wearing masks I wash my hands often (I sing "Soap and the Water" to the tune of that famous Deep Purple song), bring a small spray bottle of rubbing alcohol to use if needed, keep socially distant whenever possible, and do a number of other things, each of which gives me a little protection. While nothing can give you 100% protection adding multiple layers of protection further minimizes my risk.

I made it to the second vaccination without getting the disease so whatever I was doing plus a little luck worked. I'll continue to follow the advice of the scientists who are experts in communicable diseases because they know more about that subject than politicians, preachers, pundits, propagandists, and my peers.

Working from home:

I've always run my Band-in-a-Box aftermarket business at http://www.nortonmusic.com from home and have no problem getting motivated. Sometimes I might get 'writer's block' when trying to come up with an idea for a new style that doesn't duplicate anything I've done before, doesn't duplicate any PG Music style and will sound like something a number of people will want to use. When that happens I start listening to all kinds of music, but I guess in a way, that's work too. Since I'm not gigging until the business picks up, I'm spending more time on the Band-in-a-Box business than I used to.

I'm also learning new songs for my duo, and recording backing tracks. I've been playing the adult (over 55) market in Florida since 1985, and each year a younger generation of music lovers enter that market, so we're learning 1980s music now (when we started it was the Big Band/Sinatra era).

I think when you are self-employed it's easier to be a self-starter than if you are taking orders from someone else. You can see the direct benefit from your efforts and instead of feeling like work, it's more like foraging.

When more people work from home, it will disrupt a lot of others. Downtown office renters, cafés, gasoline retailers, business clothing retailers, etc. but the Internet has put a lot of other people out of work already, and conversely, put others to work.

We have to do our best to adapt to the changes ahead. That's survival of the fittest.

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I've just doubled my early 2022 number of gigs. One who cancelled 3 in 2021 just booked them again for 2022. Now I have 6. Things are looking up.

Perhaps next winter season in Florida will be closer to normal. It's already 6 gigs better than the last 11 months wink

Notes


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This coming Weds March 3rd, I get my second Covid vaccine - Moderna so it's also the last one - for now.

Whatcom County is in Phase 2 now, music venues are allowed to book solo acts. If things go well we may be able to book the duo this summer. My duo partner got his second shot last Weds, he's done a couple of solo gigs.

I intend to continue to be careful in public. Summer means outdoor gigs up here, I would be fairly comfortable with those, just keep my distance.


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with the nasty covid variants we all have to be careful.

I am not 100% clear that the current Moderna/Pfiser vac's are 99% effective vs the variants . Med scientists/researchers sometimes say 'it looks good' then there is back tracking. They are simply unsure.

I do believe the Pharmas are working hard to protect us. But don't be surprised if we all need a 3rd dose.

I am getting Moderna 2 on 3/18. Wife is getting here Pfizer 2 on 3/12.

I was so relieved to get them.

This inspired a new original song titled " Mighty Moderna ". My Kaiser GP likes it.

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Originally Posted by GregC
with the nasty covid variants we all have to be careful.

I am not 100% clear that the current Moderna/Pfiser vac's are 99% effective vs the variants . Med scientists/researchers sometimes say 'it looks good' then there is back tracking. They are simply unsure.

I do believe the Pharmas are working hard to protect us. But don't be surprised if we all need a 3rd dose.

I am getting Moderna 2 on 3/18. Wife is getting here Pfizer 2 on 3/12.

I was so relieved to get them.

This inspired a new original song titled " Mighty Moderna ". My Kaiser GP likes it.

All viruses mutate, that's why the flu vaccine is different every year. The good new is that unless the mutation is very different, scientists have lots of experience from flu vaccines to generate current vaccines fairly quickly.
I've fully expected from the start that there will be at least an annual vaccine and possible more frequent until we develop some semblance of herd immunity.

Yes, it is a relief to get the shots. And no, that doesn't mean this is over. Still, I'm seeing light at the end of the tunnel, the future is not the past.


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